Posted by DietBet transformers with super stakes are quite rare. Take the opportunity when it arrives. Or curse your rotten luck for sitting at three ordinary ones already
The Mega Transformer & Apple Watch Giveaway started June 17. For this one you needed $75/month or $375 all-in to join.
They had 733 people join this, and the total amount pledged is estimated to be $280,725.
The money required to participate wasn’t a problem for me. What was a problem was that I was in three run-of-the-mill transformers at the time, and 3 is all they allow. I even asked customer service if they would make exceptions because this was a special one, but no joy.
But I am interested in how this one pays out. You can click here to see the activity feed and scroll down to the DietBet posts to see what they paid out for each round.
At the time of this posting they have completed 2 rounds and are about halfway through Round 3.
It is useful to compare the payouts to the $125 all-in transformers I have been involved in, to see if the mega one has been paying out better or worse from a percentage point of view.
In the $125 transformers, everyone contributed $12.50 to each of the first 5 pots. In the mega transformer, that figure is $37.50. And so we can compute the percentage return on investment for each pot. (Of course, this is just a statistic—you cannot bet on each month of a transformer separately.)
The three transformers I have been in are (my shorthand name in parentheses):
- Fitness Transformer—Win Workout Gear (Fitness), 2/26-8/25, 371 players, 140 winners, $46,500 estimated pledged; completed
- FatGirlFedUp’s Transformer (Lexi), 3/18-9/17, 1,678 players, $203,800 estimated pledged; currently in Round 6
- March Nutrition Transformer (March), 3/19-9/18, 269 players, $31,875 pledged; currently in Round 6
Here are the payouts for Round 1 of my three transformers, compared to that of the mega transformer. ROIs are based on $12.50 for the three standard ones and $37.50 for the mega:
- Fitness: $13.63, 9.04% ROI
- Lexi: $15.02, 20.16% ROI
- March: $14.66, 17.28% ROI
- Mega: $41.46, 10.56% ROI
For Round 2:
- Fitness: $22.16, 77.28% ROI
- Lexi: $25.76, 106.08% ROI
- March: $22.96, 83.68% ROI
- Mega: $61.42, 63.79% ROI
So far, the people in the Mega seem to be performing slightly better than the people in the Fitness transformer, and substantially better than the people in the other two transformers. (Round 1 of Lexi and March ended right at Easter weekend, so that may have caught some players, but down-post you will see that Fitness players as a whole did better than the Lexi and March ones, and therefore got paid less through Round 5 and will end up having gotten paid less in Round 6 than the winners in the other two when their respective final rounds conclude.)
Going forward, the mega will be compared to the other three transformers.
Round 3:
- Fitness: $26.31, 110.48% ROI
- Lexi: $29.84, 138.72% ROI
- March: $26.93, 115.44% ROI
- Mega: $tbd, tbd% ROI
Round 4:
- Fitness: $28.04, 124.32% ROI
- Lexi: $31.30, 150.45% ROI
- March: $28.48, 127.84% ROI
- Mega: $tbd, tbd% ROI
Round 5:
- Fitness: $24.58, 96.64% ROI
- Lexi: $29.32, 134.56% ROI
- March: $28.61, 128.88% ROI
- Mega: $tbd, tbd% ROI
Round 6 (ROIs based on $62.50 for the smaller ones and $187.50 for the mega; I am assuming all-in fees paid):
- Fitness: $127.64, 104.22% ROI
- Lexi: $tbd, tbd% ROI (will be higher than Fitness based on the percentage of players still eligible, even if they all make it)
- March: $tbd, tbd% ROI (will be higher than Fitness based on the percentage of players still eligible, even if they all make it)
- Mega: $tbd, tbd% ROI
It will be interesting to see if holiday indulgement catches a lot of people in Round 6 of the mega transformer, or if the money at stake generates extra resolve for them. Round 5 ends on November 17, a little over a week before American Thanksgiving. To win Round 6 most of the Round 5 survivors (who had to have been 6% down from June 17 to still be eligible for the big money) will have to either maintain or lose weight during that feast weekend. Fortunately the water-weight effects from 15% solution-enhanced turkeys and carb overload from the typical Thanksgiving fare will have passed.
Weight Betting Odds 